Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004845 0.005479 0.006203 0.007097 0.008183 0.009476 0.011154
2026-02-01 0.003834 0.004585 0.005514 0.006773 0.008478 0.010772 0.014221
2026-02-08 0.003247 0.004018 0.005024 0.006473 0.008586 0.011700 0.016953
2026-02-15 0.002965 0.003780 0.004890 0.006579 0.009220 0.013470 0.021553
2026-02-22 0.002682 0.003493 0.004634 0.006445 0.009435 0.014604 0.025511
2026-03-01 0.002437 0.003228 0.004371 0.006245 0.009484 0.015441 0.029257
2026-03-08 0.002248 0.003022 0.004168 0.006104 0.009594 0.016404 0.033773
2026-03-15 0.002159 0.002953 0.004160 0.006277 0.010293 0.018744 0.043237
2026-03-22 0.002095 0.002915 0.004195 0.006524 0.011183 0.021813 0.057533
2026-03-29 0.002047 0.002895 0.004255 0.006823 0.012245 0.025738 0.079614
2026-04-05 0.001938 0.002769 0.004124 0.006742 0.012472 0.027592 0.096083
2026-04-12 0.001844 0.002659 0.004011 0.006680 0.012727 0.029649 0.117389
2026-04-19 0.001729 0.002515 0.003836 0.006499 0.012725 0.031151 0.140825
2026-04-26 0.001609 0.002355 0.003623 0.006216 0.012428 0.031632 0.159843
2026-05-03 0.001503 0.002212 0.003428 0.005950 0.012123 0.031987 0.180342
2026-05-10 0.001456 0.002167 0.003406 0.006044 0.012789 0.036347 0.262722
2026-05-17 0.001386 0.002076 0.003292 0.005925 0.012846 0.038369 0.334081
2026-05-24 0.001314 0.001978 0.003159 0.005748 0.012700 0.039478 0.404785
2026-05-31 0.001255 0.001898 0.003054 0.005622 0.012684 0.041237 0.517100
2026-06-07 0.001232 0.001882 0.003070 0.005776 0.013560 0.048195 0.967835
2026-06-14 0.001217 0.001879 0.003110 0.005996 0.014722 0.058207 2.472032
2026-06-21 0.001206 0.001883 0.003165 0.006260 0.016141 0.072232 12.425282
2026-06-28 0.001164 0.001827 0.003092 0.006189 0.016338 0.077872 48.077087